Is Hyperinflation Coming?


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Inflation is something we more or less take for granted these days. The idea that 5 dollars today is not going to be able to buy 5 dollars worth of stuff in the future, and the fact that you used to be able to buy a family home for 10 grand, are all the result of inflation.

The idea that over time money becomes worthless and less influences a lot of decisions in out lives. Everything from retirement planning to salary negotiations take this relatively benign and constant force into account.

But it is something that should be feared.

Hyperinflation is where this slow but steady force explodes and renders money all but useless.

Since the money printers fired up in early 2020 the US has added over three trillion dollars to is m2 money supply. That’s more than a 20% increase in the total amount of money washing around in the economy in the space of around 6 months.

What’s more is that 3 trillion dollars is coming close to doubling the amount of cash in active circulation, that is the pool of cash which is actively out there been spent on good and services rather than sitting dormant in bank accounts or term deposits.

When you consider that hyperinflation is classed as a 50% increase in general prices per month it is reasonable to expect that this printing bonanza may be starting to push into dangerous territories.

Or is it?

Is hyperinflation actually something to be concerned about, in a developed nation like the USA? Or are all of these cautionary tales simply a ploy to try and get people to buy gold coins at 50% over their base value.
Well to answer this we of course as always need to loot at a few key details and answer a few key questions.

What actually is inflation? It’s weirder than you might think

Is inflation actually good or bad for the economy?

Is the money printer causing inflation right now?

And what are the best ways to protect against this harsh reality?

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  1. Persistent deflation is bad, but so is unyielding inflation. We need corrective deflation to fair value. The bubble periods stifle the real economy. Without deflation we'd need huge wage growth (problematic when so many people are retirement age, so not helped by that). Otherwise no one can buy assets who doesn't already have other assets they can first sell.

  2. The way I think about it is this printing of money is like a lot of snow in the mountains. It doesn't always mean that down river communities will be flooded in the spring but the more snow their is the more risk of a spring flood their is.

  3. Inflation is always much more likely and much more devastating to a nation’s economy than deflation. History has shown that continuous and steady inflation or hyperinflations will always wipe out the value of the nation’s money. Just about every nation that existed has had the value of its money wiped out by inflation. I don’t think the value of a nation’s money has ever been wiped out by deflation.

    The modern economy of the future has to be based on sustainability not growth and for this to occur new economic models will need to be developed where it is normal and OK for the economy to contract or expand. Presently, if the economy is not growing it is considered a failure. If equality and prosperity for everyone is the goal, the thinking that the economy always has to grow needs to be changed to the economy needs to be sustainable. I do not think it is possible for an economy to be sustainable if it is always growing.

  4. Please stop confusing Money and Currency, Money has intrinsic value (such as gold coins), Currency has no intrinsic value (its just paper). Currency is not Money.

  5. Coming? Hyperinflation has been here for a decade, it has just been pushed into things other than just consumer staples. Healthcare, housing, education. Once the consumers can no longer access those basics by way of their normal wages, the economic crash isn't a question of if, but rather when.

  6. Hi you said 21:50 taxation will disproportionately affect high income earners, hows that i have seen high income earners have many loopholes in taxation and i think it affect middle class again. And can you make an video explaining based on income who pays the most taxes after going through the loopholes and tax cutoffs.

  7. As a sovereign nation, Britain prints its own currency. How then is it possible for a sovereign nation to run out of money and have to go cap in hand to the IMF like Britain did in 1976 ???

  8. As a complete noob in economics I thought that our economy is not healthy because of the constant inflation and the lowering of the interest rates.

    If I understood you correctly you said that a 1% inflation is not a problem. That is an answer to one of my two overarching economics questions. my second question is about the lowering of the interest rate. At the moment we are at the edge to negative interest. Is this also something that is not a problem?

  9. I think we need to come up with a algorithm for how much money should be in the economy that would be ran by the government directly the fed would be part of the treasury dept not independent. We did need more money added to the money supply due to the huge increase in population, technology, productivity but it has gotten out of control because of our stupid system. The money system we have was not designed it came about. most people know how it came about and we still have fractional reserve lending aka legal fraud loaning out the dollar that you alreardy promised to someone else. this is prob the reason we have business cycles loans go out and then eventually cannot be repaid because there isnt enough money. Bank runs shouldnt be possible if you think aobut what a bank run is, its saying the place you put your money doesnt have your money. so instead of stamping out the practice they made the fed a lender to banks. Fortunately because money is becoming less physical and country is so big there is no reason we should loss faith in the dollar. Also along as we have the petro dollar and the largest military in the world we should be ok.