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Pandemic optimism, excess deaths pessimism

UK, Zoe symptom study

https://health-study.joinzoe.com/data

Daily new cases = 106,548

Current symptomatic prevalence = 1,488,559

UK official data

https://coronavirus.data.gov.uk

Patients admitted, 4,124 down 14% (past 7 days)

With covid or for covid?

Deaths, 419, down 38% (past 7 days)

ONS latest

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/healthandsocialcare/conditionsanddiseases/articles/coronaviruscovid19/latestinsights

W/E 23rd August, prevalence

1.64% in England (1 in 60 people)

1.56% in Wales (1 in 65 people)

1.95% in Northern Ireland (1 in 50 people)

1.82% in Scotland (1 in 55 people)

Reinfections within the omicron wave

14.6%

Alpha, 1.8%

Delta, 1%

Risk of BA.5 Infection among Persons Exposed to Previous SARS-CoV-2 Variants

https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMc2209479?query=TOC&cid=NEJM%20eToc,%20September%201,%202022%20DM1402792_NEJM_Non_Subscriber&bid=1141953912

https://www.nejm.org/doi/suppl/10.1056/NEJMc2209479/suppl_file/nejmc2209479_appendix.pdf

Wuhan-Hu-1 55.7%

Alpha 58.8%

Delta 64.5%

BA.1 / BA.2 76.8%

(UK, 84.4%)

Long covid

2.0 million people in private households in the UK (3.1%)

Of those

83% symptoms at least 12 weeks

45% at least one year

22% at least two years

Symptoms

Fatigue, 62%

Shortness of breath, 37%

Difficulty concentrating, 33%

Muscle ache, 31%

Symptoms adversely affected the day-to-day activities

1.5 million people, (73% of those with SRLC)

China, millions in Covid lockdown

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/aug/31/china-places-millions-into-covid-lockdown-again-as-economy-continues-to-struggle

China, cases, + 1,717 cases, majority asymptomatic

Sporadic cases around China

Southern cities of Shenzhen and Guangzhou

Northern port city of Dalian

Western metropolis of Chengdu to Shijiazhuang

Central Hebei province

Varying levels of restrictions, closure of venues and restaurants

Delayed school reopening

Foreign visitors, more than a week of quarantine hotels, sanitary conditions often poor

Masking and regular testing, close contacts forcibly transported to field hospitals

World Health Organization, China’s policy unsustainable

Anbound Research Center

President Xi Jinping’s government,

Preventing the risk of economic stall should be the priority task

Moderna sues Pfizer and BioNTech

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/08/26/moderna-pfizer-covid-lawsuit/?utm_campaign=wp_to_your_health&utm_medium=email&utm_source=newsletter&wpisrc=nl_tyh

https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/22266043-moderna-complaint?responsive=1&title=1

MODERNA SUES PFIZER AND BIONTECH FOR INFRINGING PATENTS CENTRAL TO MODERNA’S INNOVATIVE MRNA TECHNOLOGY PLATFORM
AUGUST, 26, 2022

https://investors.modernatx.com/news/news-details/2022/Moderna-Sues-Pfizer-and-BioNTech-for-Infringing-Patents-Central-to-Modernas-Innovative-mRNA-Technology-Platform/default.aspx

Moderna Chief Legal Officer Shannon Thyme Klinger

We believe that Pfizer and BioNTech unlawfully copied Moderna’s inventions, and they have continued to use them without permission

Pfizer

We are surprised by the litigation given the Pfizer/BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine was based on BioNTech’s proprietary mRNA technology and developed by both BioNTech and Pfizer

Written by Dr. John Campbell

Hello Everyone,My name is John Campbell and I am a retired Nurse Teacher and A and E nurse based in England. I also do some teaching in Asia and Africa when time permits. These videos are to help students to learn the background to all forms of health care. My PhD focused on the development of open learning resources for nurses nationally and internationally.

Comments

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  1. Must be a DIED VACCINATED line on charts or it's skewed!
    Again, have people with long covid been vaccinated?
    Again, are these tests that they're giving people when they come to a hospital for other things truly tests for active or some indication of a bit of covid virus that will be with us forever?
    These tests were not valid in the first place, they were a way to get what is called a pandemic happening and to me it revels the insidious political intent to create division socially, emotionally and politically. To my mind they are criminals including the patties paid to be provincial health officials and the premiers that allow the corrupt content of mandates of any sort to continue in their province !

  2. This is not the objective discussion I have long respected. While it is perfectly valid to consider vaccines as a contributing factor to excess deaths, it’s short-sighted not to consider other potential factors: deaths caused by undiagnosed systemic damage from a Covid infection; unprecedented and prolonged high stress levels; stretched medical services; unwillingness to access medical services in time or lack of trust hampering compliance with treatment plans. The common denominator may be the pandemic as a whole rather than the vaccines alone, with vaccines just being one of several potential factors to be considered.

  3. Time to get a rumble account to to be able to spread the truth there and talk without censorship. I would watch you on both platforms when when YouTube yanks your video I can still watch it on Rumble.

  4. Dr. John, when you say people are dying, would you please designate who these people are? For example, are they people who have had the “vaccine” or those who have not had the “vaccine”?
    Thank you so much.

  5. Quick back of the envelope calculations on the problem discussed. Without allowing for an increase or decrease in numbers and based on 2019 UK figures we are looking at around :
    Passings ( avoiding D word) 106,168 a year UK only
    Passings 20,596,631 a year globally based on 95 countries not inc UK.
    That is a lot of people.

  6. Casket companies are now for the first time in history receiving bulk orders for child sized caskets.
    Funeral home directors are advised they are not allowed to speak about this by government officials.
    Gee, wonder what could be the reason for this?

  7. People are asking the question now to what they have done to themselves serious reality is setting in and should have done there homework beforehand instead of believing main stram media this is so sad.

  8. So if COVID accounts for only a little over half of these excess deaths, what may be driving the rest? There are a range of possible explanations, several stemming from the indirect effects of the pandemic.

    The first possibility is that some deaths may follow weeks or months after recovery from a severe COVID infection and therefore not be registered as a COVID death. Research has shown that people who have recovered from COVID have had a higher risk of heart disease, for example, and deaths from other causes.

    But these studies were based on infections earlier in the pandemic and found that ill health and death were more common in people who were very sick when they had COVID. Whether the same risk applies now with the generally milder acute illness is doubtful.

    Another possibility may relate to the secondary effects of COVID control measures, especially lockdowns. Lockdowns were associated with deterioration in health, especially mental health, and healthy behaviour such as exercising and eating well. These negative effects were most marked in vulnerable groups such as older people and those who are severely obese.

    There is no evidence that lockdowns early in the pandemic were associated with excess deaths in countries which initially avoided large numbers of COVID infections, such as Australia and New Zealand. But one issue that remains a concern is that the pandemic has reduced activity levels, especially in older people. We know people who do less physical activity have a higher risk of death over time.

    There are also concerns that older people are not returning to socialising, and that a resulting lack of social connection may be affecting their health and therefore mortality.

    While lockdowns do have consequences for public health, in the early days of the pandemic the benefits in reducing COVID transmission over the negative effects were clear. However, once most people had been vaccinated, the harms of such strict measures started to outweigh the benefits, in my view.

    A further possibility may be the impact of the pandemic on healthcare services. There’s plenty of evidence that the pandemic delayed necessary non-COVID medical care for many people. Early in the pandemic this would have been due to the large number of COVID cases requiring hospital care, but more recently this has primarily been exacerbated by staff having to self-isolate.

    Evidence shows that delays in accessing healthcare are associated with increased mortality. A recent study in the English National Health Service found people who had to wait in the emergency room for more than five hours were more likely to die compared to people who were seen within the first five hours. As waits got longer, the risk of death increased

  9. NIH writes on its website Ivermectin is an effective therapeutic….

    For two years we knew this. It was suppressed.

    The people responsible are MASSMURDERERS. People need to hang for this.

    There. I said it.

  10. Things have calmed down with c19. I know because I have an autoimmune condition with a suppressed immune response. I have had every variant since day 1. It goes quiet now until autumn when the vaccines start again and the shedding starts again!
    But I’m not allowed to mention that because doctors told me vaccines don’t shed. How do they know? They know nothing about the ingredients, how the jabs affect the immune system, what contraindications may be present. They are paid to shut people up!

  11. Im gonna make a prediction here and hopefully im wrong but never the less here we go … i know the nhs is preparing a huge vaccine roll out of the new vaccines …i predict within 8 weeks of thr vaccine roll out there will be a new large wave if covid cases ..and a bigger wave than last year ….

  12. I may have missed it, but what is the data difference in vaccinated people who get long covid vs non-vaccinated? Could it be the vaccination is making it worse for those susceptible to long covid?

  13. Lies, lies and more lies., the truth needs to come out. John if you believe this info I feel sad for you. Lies have been told since day 1 and are still being told.💉💉💉💉💉💲💲💲💲💲😢🙏❤️🍁🍁🍁🇨🇦🇨🇦🇨🇦

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