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The Fed’s Chances of Engineering a Soft-Landing Are Slim.

#Fed #economy #recession #markets #interestrates #inflation #deflation

Today we will look at the Federal Reserve’s track record during tightening cycles.

The verdict isn’t great as virtually every time the US central bank goes on a tightening cycle recessions and major financial calamities take place.

Our verdict is that with the massive imbalances we have now the chances of Mr. Powell & Co. engineering a soft landing are very slim indeed.

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DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser. These videos are for educational purposes only. Investing of any kind involves risk. Your investment and other financial decisions are solely your responsibility. It is imperative that you conduct your own research and seek professional advice as necessary. I am merely sharing my opinions.

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Written by maneco64

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  1. The coming recession is entirely predictable and probably planned. After all, the elite have pocketed trillions over just the last few years. So they are well fortified for an economic collapse. The collapse will ensure unemployment will once more go through the roof effectively ending the worker move to increase their pathetically low wages. Unemployment ends wage inflation but not the unfettered take of wealth by the rich. Then, wait for it, the rich will get their usual bail outs and bail ins from their unfettered position as the major recipients of government largesse. Yes, the rich are all in on socialism for the rich. Trillions more will flow into their coffers because we NEED to make them whole..or else.

  2. They are talking about job cuts. Just think how much the rates are going up. Its like you stated…they are pushing debt and credit.

  3. How's the silver market there "Prophet of Doom"? Still in the weeds even with pandemics, lockdowns, wars, and a host of other miseries. You should be honest and shut down your little talks until silver goes past its former high that was a decade ago. Be honest and tell your audience that you live off of government money and if you tried to live off of your silver "investments" you would soon be homeless and starving.

  4. My physio has just purchased a year's supply of protein and my wife's hairdresser is talking of buying as much stock as she can afford as prices are only going one way. The crack up boom in action!

  5. They can't let deflation happen if they want to avoid financial collapse. But turning on the printer at an even higher rate will result in financial collapse as well. We are at a point where they are no good choices left for kicking down the can further down the road to buy more time. In my opinion they will allow deflation to happen for several reasons: they want to allow deflation to let companies go bust and let people lose their collateral on loans. They want to own everything so we can own nothing and be happy. They created supply issues in the world that they can blaim when they let the deflation happen. A deflation will get rid of the commercial banks that the elite no longer needs. They want to go central. I expect a cyber attack on the swift payment system (just before total collapse of the financial system) after which they roll out their centralised banking emergency app with a central bank digital currency. That will fail in the end but that is a story for another time

  6. I want to remind everyone that as the ruble goes higher relative to the dollar, Russia earns fewer rubles for the oil it exports. And Russia could import more stuff for each ruble, but few are selling to Russia right now. So a strong ruble is bad for the Russian war effort. I think the Western banking establishment is happy to help keep the thinly traded ruble strong.

  7. Just looked at uk house price index from land registry, there was little correlation to fed fund chart. I guess most people "held" and prices normalised back to trend line ie rental yield plus capital preservation

  8. I remember in the 80's the pop group UB40 named after the UK form for unemployment benefit – There big hit was "I am a one in 10". that was with 10% unemployment

  9. Your explanation is realistic and straight to the point. On the other hand there are many ways of manipulating the market, I was able to grasp the knowledge of trading crypto assets early enough, but i was still limited due to my lack of technical understanding of how to analyse the digital market , all that changed when i encountered (Carolyn Halles) strategy. more emphasis should be put into day trading as it Is less affected by the unpredictable nature of the market.

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